Election Week 2020 Young People Increase Turnout Lead Biden to Victory CIRCLE

Election Week 2020: Young People Increase Turnout, Lead Biden to Victory

We have a higher turnout of young people in 2020 than 2016, and their influence (especially the colored races have overwhelmingly supporting Videen), decisive in important national elections. It is estimated that it has become a thing.

The election date was an unprecedented election cycle, formed by the end of the Covid's trend, the national movements for racial justice, and the ultimate energy of young people who delivered the voice on the streets and ballot boxes. 。 According to our survey, the turnout of young voters increased in 2020, causing major changes in major fierce war states. In addition, the turnout and overwhelming support of the colored young people to the next President of Joe Biden were one of the decisive factors in the election.

See comprehensive data and analysis about the 2020 youth voting:

Top article In 2020, the turnout of young people increased

Note: The following analysis reflects the estimated values of young turnout based on data available in several weeks from the day after the 2020 election date. In the spring of 2021, the estimated voting rate for young people was revised to 50 % based on a record of more than 40 states. read more

According to Circle's own estimation, the turnout of young people was much higher than 2016 in the 2020 election.

According to our estimation based on voting as of November 18, 52 to 55 % of young people with voting rights of 18 to 29 have voted in the 2020 presidential election. Using the same methodology and data one week after the 2016 election, the Company had previously estimated that the turnout of the 2016 youth was 42-44 %.

Furthermore, if all voting is aggregated, the voting rate for young people will reach 53 % to 56 %. In 2016 forecasts based on the same data, the turnout of young people was 45 % to 48 %. It is noteworthy that even the early prediction of the turnover rate for young people in 2020 is higher than the 2016 forecast.

Circl e-specific early turnout prediction is based on the total number of votes, and the prediction turnover is the total number of votes in U. S. Election Project (including the total forecasts in 2020). All forecasts are based on the turnout of young people from the EDISON RESEARCH national election exit survey. The range of each estimated value is published to calculate errors in the turnout of young people.

Youth Share: What Percentage of Ballots Were Cast by Youth?

The turnout of young people in this election is estimated to be 17 %. By the way, young people's voting rates from the same survey in 2016 were 16 %. It is noteworthy that the voting rate for young people is often adjusted in a few days after the election as the number of respondents increases and the weight is improved. We are carefully monitoring the data and will update the vote rate of young people as needed.

The voting rate of all young people depends not only on the participation of young voters, but also to all voters (therefore different from the participation rate of young voters). While the voting rate of all voters as a whole seems to be a highly election, the fact that the voting rate of young people in 2020 seems to be equal to or more as the vote rate of young people in recent elections was high. It may suggest that. "Continuing" with the elderly authority, it had a significant impact on the electoral.

State youth voting

Note In the spring of 2021, based on the newly available voter file data, we announced an estimate of the number of young people's belongings for more than 40 states. Click here for details.

The results of how young people (18-29 years old) voted in each state, and the voting ratio of young people (the percentage of young people in each state voting) was updated in detail.

Donald Trump supported Joe Biden in 32 states, mostly two digits, in most cases. President Trump won the youth vote in seven states, all of which were less than 10 % points.

Young voters and colored young people have surely Videen's victory

Updated November 7th

During the historical and hig h-accuracy of pandemic and economic difficulties, young people participated in many votes in the United States and contributed to the victory of the next President Joe Biden and the first Vice President. 。 The turnout of young people in this election is estimated to be 17 %. By the way, young people's voting rates from the same survey in 2016 were 16 %. It is noteworthy that the voting rate for young people is often adjusted in a few days after the election as the number of respondents increases and the weight is improved. We are carefully monitoring the data and will update the vote rate of young people as needed.

State youth voting

Note In the spring of 2021, based on the newly available voter file data, we announced an estimate of the number of young people's belongings for more than 40 states. Click here for details.
The results of how young people (18-29 years old) voted in each state, and the voting ratio of young people (the percentage of young people in each state voting) was updated in detail.
Donald Trump supported Joe Biden in 32 states, mostly two digits, in most cases. President Trump won the youth vote in seven states, all of which were less than 10 % points.
Young voters and colored young people have surely Videen's victory

Youth of Color Key to Biden’s Win

Updated November 7th

During the historical and hig h-accuracy of pandemic and economic difficulties, young people participated in many votes in the United States and contributed to the victory of the next President Joe Biden and the first Vice President. 。 The turnout of young people in this election is estimated to be 17 %. By the way, young people's voting rates from the same survey in 2016 were 16 %. It is noteworthy that the voting rate for young people is often adjusted in a few days after the election as the number of respondents increases and the weight is improved. We are carefully monitoring the data and will update the vote rate of young people as needed.

State youth voting

Note In the spring of 2021, based on the newly available voter file data, we announced an estimate of the number of young people's belongings for more than 40 states. Click here for details.

The results of how young people (18-29 years old) voted in each state, and the voting ratio of young people (the percentage of young people in each state voting) was updated in detail.

Donald Trump supported Joe Biden in 32 states, mostly two digits, in most cases. President Trump won the youth vote in seven states, all of which were less than 10 % points. Young voters and colored young people have surely Videen's victory

Updated November 7th

Most Youth Voted Early/Absentee, But Some Differences by Candidate Support & Race

Four days after Election Day, Biden was finally declared the winner by major news outlets. However, the impact of new voters on the election was clear for weeks. Our data revealed that more than 10 million young people canceled their early and absentee voting. Youth turnout was higher than in recent elections: Our analysis estimates that 49%-52% of young people participated in the election based on votes counted as of noon on November 7, and we project that youth turnout could reach 53%-56% if all votes are counted (using this method and currently available data). Regardless of the estimation method, our analysis shows that youth turnout is up compared to 2016.

Young voters, who supported Biden by a 25-point margin nationally (61% vs. 36%), were especially important in key battleground states that determined the presidential election:

In Michigan, 62% of young people supported Biden compared to 35% for Trump. As a result, Biden received an estimated 194, 000 youth votes, exceeding the state's margin of victory of about 148, 000 votes.

In Georgia, where Biden and Trump are neck and neck and a recount is possible, Joe Biden has about 188, 000 votes ahead of Trump.

Youth Voted Early but Decided Later

In Arizona, Biden holds a 20, 000 vote lead with 97% of the votes.

In Pennsylvania, Biden leads by just under 35, 000 votes as of Saturday morning. Biden has about 154, 000 more votes than Trump.

While young voters overall were crucial to Joe Biden's election victory, young people of color played a particularly important role. While white young people voted for Biden by a narrow margin (51% to 45%), young people of color gave him overwhelming support, ranging from 73% of Latino young people to 87% of black young people. In Georgia, 90% of black young people supported Biden, in Pennsylvania, 85% of young people of color supported Biden (33 points higher than white young people), and in Michigan, 77% of young people of color supported Biden (19 points higher than white young people). In fact, in states like Georgia and Arizona, only Biden may have been competitive for black and Latino young people.

Vote selection rates by age and race/ethnicity

Updated November 18

According to AP Votecast data in AP communication, 61 % of youth (18-29 years old) voted for Joe Biden and 36 % of President Trump. Every year, the accurate comparison is not possible because the voting is different and the voting method is different, but this is higher than the approval rating received by Secretary Clinton in 2016.

As did in recent elections, young people made different choices than elderly voters. The voters aged 30 to 44 have supported Biden with 11 points, and voters aged 45 or older have almost equally divided the support of both candidates, but have supported Trump with three points.

The difference between race and ethnic groups is also large. Young White voters support Videnes with 6 points (51 % to 45 %). Blacks, Asian, and Latin voters supported Biden with an overwhelming difference of 77, 68, and 49 points. Also, among these differences between race and ethnic groups, gender differences. For example, young white men supported Trump with a 6-point difference (51 % to 45 %), while young white women supported Biden with 13 points (55 % to 42 %).

About 2020 young voters

When and how did young people vote?

November 25th

Since the 2020 election was implemented during the global pandemic (global epidemic), voters (including young voters like many young people) were changing election processes and unique election campaigns. I needed to survive. One way for young people (18 to 29 years old) to respond to such elections was a larg e-scale voting. According to our analysis, more than 10 million young people voted directly or by mail by the day of the election. At the same time, a pr e-election survey revealed that many young people did not have information about pos t-voting. Analyzing recent presidential election data has highlighted that young voters tend to decide on a voting destination in the second half of the election cycle in all ages. AP votecast data for AP communication has voted for 61 % of young people (18-29 years old) to Joe Biden and 36 % of President Trump. Every year, the accurate comparison is not possible because the voting is different and the voting method is different, but this is higher than the approval rating received by Secretary Clinton in 2016.

About 2020 young voters

When and how did young people vote?

November 25th

Since the 2020 election was implemented during the global pandemic (global epidemic), voters (including young voters like many young people) were changing election processes and unique election campaigns. I needed to survive. One way for young people (18 to 29 years old) to respond to such elections was a larg e-scale voting. According to our analysis, more than 10 million young people voted directly or by mail by the day of the election. At the same time, a pr e-election survey revealed that many young people did not have information about pos t-voting. Analyzing recent presidential election data has highlighted that young voters tend to decide on a voting destination in the second half of the election cycle in all ages. According to AP Votecast data in AP communication, 61 % of youth (18-29 years old) voted for Joe Biden and 36 % of President Trump. Every year, the accurate comparison is not possible because the voting is different and the voting method is different, but this is higher than the approval rating received by Secretary Clinton in 2016.

About 2020 young voters

When and how did young people vote?

November 25th

The Associated Press's new AP Votecast cycle analysis paints a complete picture of how and when young people voted in 2020, as well as when they decided who to vote for, compared to older voters and voters of different racial and ethnic backgrounds. Seventy percent of young people said they voted early, and 30% said they voted on Election Day. Young people were more likely to vote early or absentee than voters ages 30-44 (65% voted early), and about as likely as voters ages 45-64. Voters ages 65 and older were the most likely to vote early or absentee (79%), likely due to concerns about their increased vulnerability to Covid-19. 78% of young people who voted for President-elect Biden voted early/absentee, compared to 57% of young people who chose President Trump. 66% of white young people voted early/absentee, compared with 79% of Latino young people and 91% of Asian young people. Asian young people tend to congregate in states with strong centralized voting, and as mentioned earlier, are more likely to be familiar with the voting process.

Black young people were most likely to support Joe Biden, but their turnout on Election Day was 30% and their turnout early was 70%, the second lowest among the four racial/ethnic groups for which data was available. A previous cycle analysis found that in the 2016 election, black young people had less experience and information about voting by mail, and states with a higher proportion of black young people tended to have more restrictive voting by mail policies.

During the election, we emphasized the importance of access to information about processes that are new or unfamiliar to young voters, such as voting by mail, and challenges for young people of color, young people without college experience, and other groups traditionally marginalized from civic life. In fact, young people without a college degree were slightly less likely to vote early/absent (66%) than more educated voters, according to this new analysis of the 2020 electorate. Among young white voters, 61% of those without college experience voted early/absent, compared with 66% of young people with college experience (no degree) and 73% of those with college degrees.

Young Black Voters, Especially Young Black Women, Strongly Supported Biden

While the majority of young people voted early in 2020, young voters (ages 18-29) were the age group most likely to have decided who they would vote for during the election, rather than having already decided who they would vote for. Three-quarters (76%) of all voters said they decided during the election, according to CIRCLE’s analysis of survey data. This figure was lower for younger voters, especially young voters of color (63%). Young voters (ages 18-24) were also more likely to make up their minds during the election cycle, as were 18-29 year-olds who did not vote in 2018, suggesting both a need and an opportunity for campaigns to reach out to younger and previously undecided voters.

71 % of young people who supported Biden said, "While it was decided who would vote by then," 65 % of the young people supported Trump. A poll before the election revealed that even young people who would support President Trump had a negative view of President Trump. In addition, although differences due to race, ethnic groups and educational backgrounds, this may be combined with the selection of voting, as described above. Among all the subgroups by race, ethnicity, and educational background, all subgroups, who have a educational background of university (do not have a degree) during the election period, have decided to vote during the election period. , 33 % said he had decided to vote during the election period. In addition, both white and colored young people tended to say that young people with graduate schools had decided who would vote from the beginning.

Young Black Voters View COVID-19, Police Violence As Critical Issues

Interestingly, there was no significant relationship between the young people deciding on a voting destination or whether they voted earlier or voted on the day of the election. As revealed in recent analysis, this suggests that the possibility of a young man's voting is a matter of access to information and early voting, rather than not being determined by the day of the election. There is.

According to the count y-level analysis, the key to Videen's victory in the Midwest was a young man.

November 24th

According to our current estimation regarding the turnout of young people, 52 % to 55 % of young people voted, which was the highest percentage since the age of voting was reduced to 18 by Article 26 of the Constitutional Fix. It may be. In the United States, the turnout of young people was 61 % vs. 36 %, a decisive vote for the next President of Biden, but the votes for young people vary depending on the state and in the state.

Earlier this month, he examined the approval rating of President Trump and Joe Biden at the level of Florida, Georgia, Texas, and Virginia to understand what differences the elections. This time, the analysis was expanded to four states in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Ohio, and what result of each candidate in a fierce battlefield in the Midwest is a county county. I explored it. There is no data on the selection of young people at the county level. 71 % of young people who supported Biden answered that "who would be voted by then", while 65 % of the young people supported Trump. A poll before the election revealed that even young people who would support President Trump had a negative view of President Trump. In addition, although differences due to race, ethnic groups and educational backgrounds, this may be combined with the selection of voting, as described above. Among all the subgroups by race, ethnicity, and educational background, all subgroups, who have a educational background of university (do not have a degree) during the election period, have decided to vote during the election period. , 33 % said he had decided to vote during the election period. In addition, both white and colored young people tended to say that young people with graduate schools had decided who would vote from the beginning.

According to the count y-level analysis, the key to Videen's victory in the Midwest was a young man.

November 24th

Earlier this month, he examined the approval rating of President Trump and Joe Biden at the level of Florida, Georgia, Texas, and Virginia to understand what differences the elections. This time, the analysis was expanded to four states in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Ohio, and what result of each candidate in a fierce battlefield in the Midwest is a county county. I explored it. There is no data on the selection of young people at the county level. 71 % of young people who supported Biden said, "While it was decided who would vote by then," 65 % of the young people supported Trump. A poll before the election revealed that even young people who would support President Trump had a negative view of President Trump. In addition, although differences due to race, ethnic groups and educational backgrounds, this may be combined with the selection of voting, as described above. Among all the subgroups by race, ethnicity, and educational background, all subgroups, who have a educational background of university (do not have a degree) during the election period, have decided to vote during the election period. , 33 % said he had decided to vote during the election period. In addition, both white and colored young people tended to say that young people with graduate schools had decided who would vote from the beginning.

According to the count y-level analysis, the key to Videen's victory in the Midwest was a young man.

November 24th

In these four Midwestern states, we divided counties into three roughly equal-sized groups based on census data on the percentage of the voting population made up of young people (ages 18-29) (ranging from 2% to 60%, with an average of 19%). In Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Ohio, Biden outperformed young and middle-income counties by statistically significant double-digit margins, contributing to his victories in Michigan and Pennsylvania. For example, in Michigan, Biden won an average of 42% of the vote in high-youth counties, compared with only 28% in low-youth counties. In Wisconsin, the only state where Biden's vote share in high-youth counties was not statistically significantly higher than his vote share in low-youth counties, Biden won by 6 percentage points. In contrast, Trump performed better in low-youth counties in each of the four states. When we analyze counties by their percentage of young people of color (using the same method of categorizing them as high/medium/low), we find even larger differences between counties with high and low percentages of young people of color in all four states. For example, in Pennsylvania, Biden received twice as many votes in counties with a large percentage of young people of color as in counties with a small percentage of young people of color. In Ohio, the only state in the four where Biden did not win, the difference is even wider. Biden received 59% of the average vote in southern counties with a large percentage of young people of color, but received less than a quarter of the average vote in counties with a small percentage of young people of color.

In Pennsylvania, Biden performed particularly well in counties with a large percentage of black young people, but received less than a quarter of the vote in counties with a small percentage of black young people.

This is because Biden won relatively few counties in all three states, but the counties he won were more populous. In addition, because cities and counties have a higher proportion of young people, and cities tend to support Democratic candidates, the presence of young people is likely only one of many factors contributing to differences in candidate support at the county level.

The Pandemic Was the Top issue for Young Asian Americans

It is extremely important for his 270 electoral votes to win the Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, and according to the analysis of the circle, young people in these swingstates have far more than his victory margin. I gave a vote beyond. However, as this analysis has highlighted, young people in colored races have a big difference in Biden, both in these specific states, nationwide, and young people with colored races. It further indicates how candidates have supported them in various regions in Japan.

Youth card by race and educational background

November 23rd

According to analysis on young voters, higher education can focus on university experience because it can give young people a variety of important learning opportunities, networks, political and policy experience. However, access to higher education may be unfair, reflecting other citizen inequality among young people and strengthening.

Since the 2016 election, many journalists and political observers have focused on the major differences in voting selections by educational background. In 2020, the choices of young voters (18-29 years old) vary depending on their educational background and race and ethnic groups. The young subgroup, who responded to President Trump, was the only young man with no university experience, and the turnout for the next President Biden was 41 %. In contrast, black young people (88 %) and Lati n-based young people (73 %) have all voted for Biden. College graduates also supported Biden at 63 % to 34 %, and blacks (87 %) and Latin (77 %) also supported Biden at a higher difference.

According to the previous cycle survey, there is a gap by race, ethnic groups and educational background regarding access to posting voting, and young people with colored races and young people know where to access such information. It turns out that the percentage of answers is low. For example, in 2016, a young man who had no university graduation had at least the possibility of posting postponements than at least young people who had graduated from college. Winning in a small difference between Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin is extremely important for his 270 electoral votes, and according to the analysis of the circle, young people in these swingstates are the margin of his victory. Written a vote far beyond. However, as this analysis has highlighted, young people in colored races have a big difference in Biden, both in these specific states, nationwide, and young people with colored races. It further indicates how candidates have supported them in various regions in Japan.

Youth card by race and educational background

November 23rd

According to the previous cycle survey, there is a gap by race, ethnic groups and educational background regarding access to posting voting, and young people with colored races and young people know where to access such information. It turns out that the percentage of answers is low. For example, in 2016, a young man who had no university graduation had at least the possibility of posting postponements than at least young people who had graduated from college. It is extremely important for his 270 electoral votes to win the Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, and according to the analysis of the circle, young people in these swingstates have far more than his victory margin. I gave a vote beyond. However, as this analysis has highlighted, young people in colored races have a big difference in Biden, both in these specific states, nationwide, and young people with colored races. It further indicates how candidates have supported them in various regions in Japan.

Youth card by race and educational background

November 23rd

Probably because Covid 19 trends have greatly emphasized exchanges and promotion. According to our analysis, 31 % of young white voters who have no university experience answered that they had posted posts, but 37 % of young Latin voters who have no university experience and 27 young black rights without university experience. % Said that he had voted postponed. These differences highlight the diversity of young people, including colored races. However, regardless of the level of education, black young voters have lower mailing voting rates than voters of the same generation.

The confidence in the election did not make a big difference between groups due to differences between educational backgrounds, races and ethnic groups. Overall, more than half of young people belonging to the subgroup of each education level have said that the voting is accurately aggregated. Nevertheless, as emphasized earlier, many young people had at least some doubts about the accuracy of the election results, and their sel f-confidence was not greater. Only 21 % of young white voters who have no university experience answered that they were "very confident", 15 % of white voters with university experience and 20 % of the number of universit y-graduated voters. Is shown.

There were more than three in 10 people who answered that the voting was accurately aggregated to be "very confident," because of the young black rights and Latin who have never graduated from college. It was only voters. It is noteworthy that the trust of the election did not rose consistently with the rise of educational background. Probably because the large trend of Cavid 19 has greatly emphasized the expansion and promotion of exchange. According to our analysis, 31 % of young white voters who have no university experience answered that they had posted mail, but 37 % of young Latin voters who have no university experience, 27 of young black rights without university experience. % Said that he had voted postponed. These differences highlight the diversity of young people, including colored races. However, regardless of the level of education, black young voters have lower mailing voting rates than voters of the same generation.

There were more than three in 10 people who answered that the voting was accurately aggregated to be "very confident," because of the young black rights and Latin who have never graduated from college. It was only voters. It is noteworthy that the trust of the election did not rose consistently with the rise of educational background. Probably because Covid 19 trends have greatly emphasized exchanges and promotion. According to our analysis, 31 % of young white voters who have no university experience answered that they had posted mail, but 37 % of young Latin voters who have no university experience, 27 of young black rights without university experience. % Said that he had voted postponed. These differences highlight the diversity of young people, including colored races. However, regardless of the level of education, black young voters have lower mailing voting rates than voters of the same generation.

Regarding the issues of young voters, there were different concerns in intersections between race and ethnic groups and universities. According to a public poll before the election conducted by the circle in May, the top three were pointed out that three types of climate change, racist discrimination, accessibility, and medical treatment are affected by voting in the 2020 presidential election. It was a problem. In 2020, a different group of young people who issued a ballot paper can now find out how much these problems have been prioritized when deciding on a voting destination. Analysis of young people's awareness of racism in the United States and the percentage of young people who answered that medical care is the most important problem faced by the state has shown a significant difference due to the experience of college graduation. It was not (however, there is a difference between white youth and colored young people).

At a specific educational experience level, young people with colored races showed more interest in climate change than white people. Four (80 %) of black young people who have no university experience, 4 in five Latin young people without university experience, the effects of climate change, "Slightly" or "very very" I answered that I was worried. Trump supporters are not particularly concerned about climate change than young Biden supporters, and white people who have no university experience are likely to be Trump supporters.

However, among the 18-2 9-yea r-old young white voters, at least those who had been experienced in some university education were concerned about the effects of climate change. Three or more (77 %) of four young whites who have graduated from the university / quas i-academia program to some extent, "I'm somewhat concerned" or "I'm very concerned" about the effects of climate change. He has answered 13 points than young white voters who have no university experience.

Black youth card

November 17th | 4:30 pm ET There were concerns about the problem of young voters at the intersection of racial and ethnic and university. According to a public poll before the election conducted by the circle in May, the top three were pointed out that three types of climate change, racist discrimination, accessibility, and medical treatment are affected by voting in the 2020 presidential election. It was a problem. In 2020, a different group of young people who issued a ballot paper can now find out how much these problems have been prioritized when deciding on a voting destination. Analysis of young people's awareness of racism in the United States and the percentage of young people who answered that medical care is the most important problem faced by the state has shown a significant difference due to the experience of college graduation. It was not (however, there is a difference between white youth and colored young people).

Black youth card

November 17 | 4:30 pm ET There were different concerns about the problem of young voters at the intersection of race, ethnic groups and universities. According to a public poll before the election conducted by the circle in May, the top three were pointed out that three types of climate change, racist discrimination, accessibility, and medical treatment are affected by voting in the 2020 presidential election. It was a problem. In 2020, a different group of young people who issued a ballot paper can now find out how much these problems have been prioritized when deciding on a voting destination. Analysis of young people's awareness of racism in the United States and the percentage of young people who answered that medical care is the most important problem faced by the state has shown a significant difference due to the experience of college graduation. It was not (however, there is a difference between white youth and colored young people).

Black youth card

November 17th | 4:30 pm et
Across the U. S., young voters cast decisive votes in local, state, and national elections in 2020, showing up to polls and mailing in ballots in record numbers. Black youth in particular were a key constituency, and their support for Joe Biden helped the president-elect win key states. In Georgia, for example, 90% of Black youth voted for Biden (compared to 8% for Trump), and Biden won Georgia counties with high proportions of Black youth by an average of 26 points more than the state overall.
This CIRCLE analysis takes a deep dive into the voting patterns and preferences of Black youth from AP VoteCast data from The Associated Press. The COVID-19 pandemic and protests against police brutality are shaping how young Black voters view issues and decide which candidates to vote for.
While young people in general preferred Biden by a nearly 2-to-1 margin, Biden’s support among young black voters was even more striking: Nearly 9 in 10 (87%) young black voters nationwide voted for Biden, compared with only 1 in 10 (10%) who voted for Trump. This was the highest support for Biden among young people of all racial/ethnic groups, slightly ahead of young Asians (83%) and Latinos (73%), and 36 points higher than young whites (51%). Notably, there were differences between the young black male and young black female electorates, who were slightly more likely than young black men to vote for Biden (90% vs. 84%) and also more likely to say the country is heading in the wrong direction (81% vs. 68%).

For example, 67% of young black women said the police are “very tough” on crime, compared with 51% of young black men. Additionally, 73% of young black women said abortion should be legal in most or all cases, compared with 58% of young black men. As analyses from other cycles have shown, young women of color have played a necessary role in leading much of the social and issue-based advocacy work that drives young voters to the polls.

Opinion polls before the election emphasized that black young people were particularly affected by the COVID-19 epidemic and government response, but this tendency has been confirmed among young people who have voted. That's it. More than one-third (34 %) of the young black rights (34 %) knew those who died on COVID-19. This was the highest percentage of young people's races / ethnic groups of the data, more than twice as white young people (15 %). This number is said to have been reported that the number of deaths caused by COVID-19, which is affected by blacks, is "surprisingly unequal." In addition, a young black woman was disproportionately impacted by the COVID-19 epidemic among all the black youth. Young black women are 10 points more than young black men (80 % to 70 %), and have the effects of COVID-19 because they have been canceled, knowing the deceased, and losing their jobs. He answered that he received it. In addition, "strongly support" or "support" (84 % to 71 %), COVID-19, "only the most important factor" (55 % vs. 4444444444444) The answer was more than a young black man.

In addition, pandemic was an important mobilization task for many black youth. One in three people (34 %) answered that COVID-19 is the most important issue facing the country, and half of the black young voters are the "most important elements" in determining voting. I answered that there was. This was almost the same as Latin youth (48 %) and Asian youth (51 %), but it was 19 points higher than the white young voters. Black young people strongly oppose President Trump's response to COVID-19. Only 16 % of the black youth supports President Trump's response to pandemic, which is "strong" or "to some extent", and he believes that Trump will respond to COVID-19 better than President Biden. There is even less (11 %).

Along with COVID-19, black young people believed that racism and violence by police were an important issue in determining the voting destination. Black young people tended to think that racism was the most important issue in the country facing the country three times, twice as much as all young people. 45 % of black young people (including 52 % of black women) answered that "protests on police atrocities" are the "only most important factors" to vote, and 92 % of black youth. We believe that racism is a very serious problem in the United States or to some extent.

Latin young people voting

November 16th | 4:30 pm Eastern Standard Time

Latino voters have been much discussed this year, especially the fact that President Trump garnered slightly higher support from Latino voters than he did in 2016. Much of this discussion has focused on Florida, a crucial swing state with a high Latino population and a strong influence of Cuban American voters who tend to favor Republicans, which President Trump won narrowly in 2020. However, focusing on this community and the Latino population in Florida can obscure important points, such as the fact that Latinos are not monolithic, and that while Latinos of all ages support former Vice President Biden over Trump by double-digit margins, there is a 20-point difference among older Latinos and a 50-point difference among younger Latinos.

An analysis of AP Votecast data from the Associated Press found that 63% of Latinos (all ages) voted for Joe Biden, while only 35% voted for Donald Trump alone. And across all age groups, Latinos supported Biden more than non-Latino voters. However, there are differences among Latino voters at the national level, such as by country of origin. (We would have liked to specifically examine these trends in Florida, but the sample size of the subgroup of young Latinos in the state was not large enough to conduct meaningful analysis.)

When analyzing the Latino vote, it is important to remember that the Latino vote includes people of diverse ethnicities and backgrounds. The history, experiences, culture, and values that different Latino groups bring to the polls may shape their voting choices. The graph below shows the voting by age and country of origin. Data is not available for some older age groups.

This is the same movement that has been observed for decades among Cuban Americans for decades, and in 2020, a 45-6 4-yea r-old Cuban American is 52 % to 45 %. Although it was the difference, it was the only group that supported Mr. Trump (Cuban Americans over 65 may have supported Mr. Trump, but this data is not available). The elderly Cuban American generation had their parents (themselves in the elderly in the elderly), who left Cuba after the Communist Revolution, and was the Republican Party, and this year.

However, this data has a change between generations in the voting destination of Cub a-based Americans, and the young group (18-29 years old) has overwhelmingly supported Videnn with 75 % to 23 %. It is the same as the voting destination of young Latin youth in Mexico and Central America. Heritage / Heritage This suggests that young and elderly voters, like other races / ethnic groups, have different political experiences in politics, affecting voting selection.
The most important thing is that this analysis reveals political diversity from the s o-called "Latin voters" and factors such as the country of origin and hometown, and are completely found as a single rock group. Was revealed.
Asian youth card
Updated November 18th
One of the most fierce presidential elections in the US history, youth (18-29 years old) supported the next President Joe Biden with a historic difference (61 % to 36 %). In particular, the colored young people supported Biden with a large difference, and how the black youths such as Georgia and the Lati n-based young people, such as Arizona, have voted in these elections. , I introduced it before. In this Circle, 83 % of Asian young people (15 % for Trump President) who analyzed AP votecast data for AP communication and voted for the next President of Videnes are the issues that they are interested in. Verify whether it was formed like.
Circle's pr e-election voting showed a strong commitment of Asian young people as soon as possible. He also wanted to confirm how Camala Harris, especially a black and South Asian woman, became a candidate for the first major political party, how he supported the Harris group. We understand that Asian Americans are communities consisting of diverse races and ethnic backgrounds, but unfortunately AP Votecast data is a group of Asian Americans. It cannot be separated separately.

While Asian American voters generally supported Biden, young Asian Americans supported him by a 20-point margin: 83% of 18-29 year olds, 63% of 45-64 year olds, and 65% of those 65 and older. Young Asian American women supported Biden the most (86%), a striking vote choice compared to 59% of Asian American women 65 and older who voted for Biden. Additionally, only 9% of young Asian American women supported President Trump compared to 20% of young Asian American men.

Major Impact by Youth of Color

An overwhelming majority of young Asian Americans (85%) said they believe the country is heading in the wrong direction in the 2020 presidential election cycle. More than three-quarters of young Asian Americans (77%) strongly disapproved of President Trump's performance and believe he doesn't care about people like them (79%). Meanwhile, 80% of young Asian Americans said they believe President-elect Biden cares about people like them. A significant number of Asian American young people who voted in 2020 believe it is important for the next president to unite the country (80%) and look out for people like them (69%).

For Asian American young people, the Covid-19 outbreak is the most important issue facing the country. Nearly half (47%) say the pandemic is their top priority, followed by health care (14%), the economy and jobs (13%), and racism (11%).

Four in five Asian American young people (81%) say they have been affected by the pandemic in some way, a higher percentage than Asian American seniors. A quarter of Asian American young people (24%) also say a close friend or family member has died from the coronavirus. Asian American young people, perhaps because they have been more affected by the pandemic, strongly disapprove of President Trump's handling of the crisis. Similarly, half of young Asian Americans (51%) said the federal government's response to the coronavirus was the most important factor influencing their vote in the 2020 presidential election, while an additional 42% said it was an important factor, though not the most important.

According to AP Votecast data analysis, Asian American youth are also concerned about climate change and racism, which is reflected in the Circle poll. Three-quarters of Asian American youth are very concerned about the effects of climate change (20 points higher than older Asian American voters), and two-thirds strongly support increasing federal spending on green and renewable energy. Two-thirds of Asian American youth (66%) also believe racism is a very serious problem in American society, and even more voters (73%) say they believe racism in police is a very serious problem.

Young Voters Concerned About Racism and Police Violence

November 11, 5:30 PM Article

This summer, many young people across the United States took to the streets to protest police brutality and racism following the murders of George Floyd, Breonna Taylor, and Jacob Blake. According to Circle's pre-election poll, many young people of color cited racism as one of the top three issues that would affect their 2020 vote, and 27% of young people participated in marches and protests this year, nearly double the percentage who protested in 2018 and more than five times the percentage who protested in 2016. These were encouraging signs for young people's participation in the election, as we saw in 2018 when youth-led social movements boosted young people's participation in the election by focusing on voter registration.

According to Circle's analysis of the AP Votecast survey by The Associated Press, young people were the most likely of all age groups to say that racism is a serious problem in the United States, and some were motivated to vote by the issue. In our previous analysis, we introduced that young people were the most likely age group to name racism as the most important issue facing the country. Similarly, more than four in five young people nationwide (83%) say racism in America is a very or somewhat serious problem, and 79% of young people say racism in police is somewhat or very serious. Of all age groups, young people are most likely to say that racism in America and in police are serious problems. Additionally, three-quarters of all young people believe the U. S. criminal justice system is in need of an overhaul or major change.

However, important racial/ethnic differences emerged among young people. A majority of white young people (79%) believe racism in America is "somewhat serious" or "very serious," while black young people (92%), Latino young people (88%), and Asian young people (95%) are even more likely to say so. Three-quarters of white young people say it is a "serious problem," while 89% of black young people, 86% of Latino young people, and 91% of Asian young people say it is a "serious problem." Compared to all other racial/ethnic groups, black young people are more likely to cite protests about police violence as the most important factor in deciding to vote (45%), compared with 28% of Latino young people, 21% of Asian young people, and 18% of white young people.

Among voters of each presidential candidate, young people are also more likely of all age groups to believe that racism in police and racism in America are "very serious" problems. However, differences in these questions also emerged based on presidential preference. 95% of young people who voted for President-elect Biden said racial discrimination in policing is a "somewhat serious" or "very serious" problem, the same percentage as Trump supporters aged 30-44 and 10 points higher than Trump supporters aged 45 and over. A slight majority (53%) of young Trump supporters also thought the criminal justice system needed an overhaul or major change.

Opinions of young Trump supporters

November 11, 11:15 AM

While President-elect Joe Biden won the youth vote by 25 points, more than a third (36%) of young voters supported President Trump. Young people who voted for President Trump said the biggest problem facing the country was the economy, while young people who voted for President Biden were more likely to say it was the coronavirus pandemic. What else motivated President Trump's new supporters? How were they similar and different to older voters (aged 45 and over) who supported Trump? A cycling analysis of data from The Associated Press's AP Votecast can help answer some of these questions.

The majority (61 %) of young Trump supporters (61 %) are sel f-acknowledged, but young Trump supporters have sel f-acknowledged moderate (31 %) or liberal (8 %). 。 This is reflected in the young Trump supporters's way of thinking about various problems, and in some cases, the president's elderly supporters' thinking is more advanced.
For example, Trump supporters young people had a high percentage of racism in the United States as "somewhat serious" or "very serious." It was also found that the young people who supported Trump were more critical to the police. They tend to answer the crime as "very strict" (contrasting "not enough"), and more than half (52 %) is "very seriously serious in the police. 42 % of Trump supporters aged 45 or older have responded similarly, while recognizing them as "a problem" or "slightly serious problem." (A 30-4 4-yea r-old Trump supporter had a similar view as a 18-2 9-yea r-old Trump supporter on these issues). Nevertheless, 83%of young Trump supporters believe that the police and criminal judicial issues can be processed better than President Biden.
It was also found that young people who support Trump are more interested in climate change than older Trump supporters. More than half (52 %) of young Trump supporters answered that climate change was "somewhat concerned", "very concerned", and "worried" (40 among Trump supporters over 45 years old. %), More than half of young Trump supporters (56 %) are "strong" and "somewhat" in investing in green energy (38 % of Trump supporters aged 45 or older). The strength of this green energy policy is one of the major differences that appeared between young Trump supporters and the elderly.

However, on other issues, young Trump supporters also had a conservative opinion like older Trump supporters. For example, 68 % of young Trump supporters and 65 % of elderly Trump supporters say they think they should be illegal in all or most cases. In addition, the majority of young voters who voted for Trump said that the Trump administration had more secure the United States regarding crime (61 %), cyber attacks (52 %), and terrorism (79 %). More than four (84 %) in their five people believe that the Trump administration has "changed Washington's way of working." Regarding all of these issues, their answers are the same as Trump supporters over 45 years old.

Elim Poon - Journalist, Creative Writer

Last modified: 27.08.2024

This is the highest turnout for voters between 18 and 29 of any state, according to an early report. Soaring turnout and big margins among young voters were central to the Democratic victories in the congressional and presidential. Data on early voters and recent polling suggest voters under 30 could break their historic turnout this fall.

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