Ukraine Needs a New Storyline

This comment was published in the Foreelin Policy on September 5, 2024.

All wars have a simple strategic history. In the United States Civil War, there was an anaconda plan of the North Army to strangle the Southern Army, and there was an march to the sea that cut the remaining one into two. In World War II, the US strategy focused on the principle of unconditional surrender between Germany and Japan. In the Vietnam War, the US leading mantra was "search and destruction." In Iraq, it was "clear, hold, build".

In some cases, such as World War II, abbreviations of war opened the path to victory. In some cases, like Vietnam, magnificent mistakes became immortal. But in each case, these strategic bumper stickers had a purpose. In particular, as the war was prolonged, he told the audience, both in Japan and overseas, as to what the basic principles were to win the war. And it is such a convenient plan that Ukraine has been lacking for the past year. Two and a half years after the war, Kiev's labeled his own label. Now is the chance to get it.

In the first year of the war, Ukraine was just a protagonist. Ukraine's President Volo Dimil Zelensky was unlikely to be a hero, but when Russia attacked, he became a central war leader. His famous response when the United States offered him to evacuate from Kiev- "What is needed is ammunition, not a car." There would have been no configuration.

But what is as important as a message is that Ukraine had a clear (simple, but simple) theory for winning the war. First, we stopped Russia's Kiev attack. Next, he defeated the Russian army around Halikov and resumed Kelson. Finally, as the western hand is poured into the Ukraine, the final counterattack in the spring of 2023 will be able to push Russia to the border, even if the war is not completely terminated. < SPAN> This comment was published in the Foreelin Policy on September 5, 2024.

All wars have a simple strategic history. In the United States Civil War, there was an anaconda plan of the North Army to strangle the Southern Army, and there was an march to the sea that cut the remaining one into two. In World War II, the US strategy focused on the principle of unconditional surrender between Germany and Japan. In the Vietnam War, the US leading mantra was "search and destruction." In Iraq, it was "clear, hold, build".

In some cases, such as World War II, abbreviations of war opened the path to victory. In some cases, like Vietnam, magnificent mistakes became immortal. But in each case, these strategic bumper stickers had a purpose. In particular, as the war was prolonged, he told the audience, both in Japan and overseas, as to what the basic principles were to win the war. And it is such a convenient plan that Ukraine has been lacking for the past year. Two and a half years after the war, Kiev's labeled his own label. Now is the chance to get it.

In the first year of the war, Ukraine was just a protagonist. Ukraine's President Volo Dimil Zelensky was unlikely to be a hero, but when Russia attacked, he became a central war leader. His famous response when the United States offered him to evacuate from Kiev- "What is needed is ammunition, not a car." There would have been no configuration.

But what is as important as a message is that Ukraine had a clear (simple, but simple) theory for winning the war. First, we stopped Russia's Kiev attack. Next, he defeated the Russian army around Halikov and resumed Kelson. Finally, as the western hand is poured into the Ukraine, the final counterattack in the spring of 2023 will be able to push Russia to the border, even if the war is not completely terminated. This comment was published in the Foreelin Policy on September 5, 2024.

All wars have a simple strategic history. In the United States Civil War, there was an anaconda plan of the North Army to strangle the Southern Army, and there was an march to the sea that cut the remaining one into two. In World War II, the US strategy focused on the principle of unconditional surrender between Germany and Japan. In the Vietnam War, the US leading mantra was "search and destruction." In Iraq, it was "clear, hold, build".

In some cases, such as World War II, the abbreviation of the war opened the path to victory. In some cases, like Vietnam, magnificent mistakes became immortal. But in each case, these strategic bumper stickers had a purpose. In particular, as the war was prolonged, he told the audience, both in Japan and overseas, as to what the basic principles were to win the war. And it is such a convenient plan that Ukraine has been lacking for the past year. Two and a half years after the war, Kiev's labeled his own label. Now is the chance to get it.

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In the first year of the war, Ukraine was just a protagonist. Ukraine's President Volo Dimil Zelensky was unlikely to be a hero, but when Russia attacked, he became a central war leader. His famous response when the United States offered him to evacuate from Kiev- "What is needed is ammunition, not a car." There would have been no configuration.

But what is as important as a message is that Ukraine had a clear (simple but simple) theory for winning the war. First, we stopped Russia's Kiev attack. Next, he defeated the Russian army around Halikov and resumed Kelson. Finally, as the western hand is poured into the Ukraine, the final counterattack in the spring of 2023 will be able to push Russia to the border, even if the war is not completely terminated.

Such obstacles were still going on, and Ukraine was at risk of sinking in a kind of strategic sand. In order to receive further military assistance, we had to prove that there was a win by showing great results on the battlefield, but there was no violation of the strict restrictions on the use of weapons in the United States and other western countries. I had to realize it. At the same time, the great victory on the battlefield, especially the Russian Army, which promotes learning and r e-armed, requires a lot of tactics in the western military assistance and more and more bold tactics. Ukraine was in a dilemma like chicken and eggs that could not be connected anywhere.

More subtle, as important as it is, the internal impact of having no strategic stories, especially the decreased morale of the audience. When I went to Ukraine in August, I saw a fatigue color from a senior government official to a think tank researcher and the people on the road. Perhaps because of the Russian President Putin's condition, the number of Ukrainians who are positive to end the war through negotiations. Almost all of the dozens of Ukrainians I interviewed (various levels of seniors inside and outside the government) have acknowledged the need for victory and the crisis of survival, but how Ukraine wins. There were few people who could explain clearly. And this was a dissatisfaction and complaints, especially for young and young dialogue.

Two and a half years after the war, Kiev needs to explain his country. Now is the chance to get it.

Unfortunately, Ukraine was that the Western countries were reluctant to deliver important weapons such as tanks and aircraft for several months, so Russia had time to complete a large fortress along the front. is. When the counterattacking strategy in 2023 was stuck, Kiev lost not only forces and equipment. Kiev lost not only forces and equipment. < SPAN> Such disabilities are still going on, and Ukraine was at risk of sinking in a kind of strategic sand. In order to receive further military assistance, we had to prove that there was a win by showing great results on the battlefield, but there was no violation of the strict restrictions on the use of weapons in the United States and other western countries. I had to realize it. At the same time, the great victory on the battlefield, especially the Russian Army, which promotes learning and r e-armed, requires a lot of tactics in the western military assistance and more and more bold tactics. Ukraine was in a dilemma like chicken and eggs that could not be connected anywhere.

More subtle, as important as it is, the internal impact of having no strategic stories, especially the decreased morale of the audience. When I went to Ukraine in August, I saw a fatigue color from a senior government official to a think tank researcher and the people on the road. Perhaps because of the Russian President Putin's condition, the number of Ukrainians who are positive to end the war through negotiations. Almost all of the dozens of Ukrainians I interviewed (various levels of seniors inside and outside the government) have acknowledged the need for victory and the crisis of survival, but how Ukraine wins. There were few people who could explain clearly. And this was a dissatisfaction and complaints, especially for young and young dialogue.

Two and a half years after the war, Kiev needs to explain his country. Now is the chance to get it.

Unfortunately, Ukraine was that the Western countries were reluctant to deliver important weapons such as tanks and aircraft for several months, so Russia had time to complete a large fortress along the front. is. When the counterattacking strategy in 2023 was stuck, Kiev lost not only forces and equipment. Kiev lost not only forces and equipment. Such obstacles were still going on, and Ukraine was at risk of sinking in a kind of strategic sand. In order to receive further military assistance, we had to prove that there was a win by showing great results on the battlefield, but there was no violation of the strict restrictions on the use of weapons in the United States and other western countries. I had to realize it. At the same time, the great victory on the battlefield, especially the Russian Army, which promotes learning and r e-armed, requires a lot of tactics in the western military assistance and more and more bold tactics. Ukraine was in a dilemma like chicken and eggs that could not be connected anywhere.

More subtle, as important as it is, the internal impact of having no strategic stories, especially the decreased morale of the audience. When I went to Ukraine in August, I saw a fatigue color from a senior government official to a think tank researcher and the people on the road. Perhaps because of the Russian President Putin's condition, the number of Ukrainians who are positive to end the war through negotiations. Almost all of the dozens of Ukrainians I interviewed (various levels of seniors inside and outside the government) have acknowledged the need for victory and the crisis of survival, but how Ukraine wins. There were few people who could explain clearly. And this was a dissatisfaction and complaints, especially for young and young dialogue.

Two and a half years after the war, Kiev needs to explain his country. Now is the chance to get it.

Unfortunately, Ukraine was that the Western countries were reluctant to deliver important weapons such as tanks and aircraft for several months, so Russia had time to complete a large fortress along the front. is. When the counterattacking strategy in 2023 was stuck, Kiev lost not only forces and equipment. Kiev lost not only forces and equipment.

The lack of a convincing story was not limited to public relations issues, but also at the western military assistance. The western observatory has come to see that Ukraine has been involved in a lon g-term exhaustion battle with a larger and stronger Russian Russia. This was a new story after the first story of Kremlin (Kiev collapsed rapidly and Russian Satrap is set up). Western countries thought this was probably a war that Ukraine would probably not win. The scenario has been skeptical of Washington and other western countries, as a military assistance to Ukraine is still a good investment. At best, Ukraine was able to show the idea that west weapons and ammunition prevented further land loss, which was only a brilliant advertising complaint to secure further assistance.

There is no doubt that the accusation that the war between Russia and Ukraine had fallen into a stalemate was not completely accurate. While many of the western media are focusing on the stagnant front, Ukraine is not so impressive, although it is not so impressive, although it is not so impressive, such as driving the famous Russian Black Sea fleet out of the Crimean port and the West of the Black Sea. I have achieved many. Furthermore, Ukraine's lack of military advancement is at least in Western weapons to attack air centers, bases, and other military assets in Russian territory, at least partially. It was due to a strict red line that restricts the use.

In this regard, Cruch's counterattack was not so fast. The Ukrainian army invaded Russia for the first time and occupied more than 1. 200 square kilometers (about 460 square miles). < SPAN> The lack of compelling stories was not limited to Public Relations, but also in the western military assistance. The western observatory has come to see that Ukraine has been involved in a lon g-term exhaustion battle with a larger and stronger Russian Russia. This was a new story after the first story of Kremlin (Kiev collapsed rapidly and Russian Satrap is set up). Western countries thought this was probably a war that Ukraine would probably not win. The scenario has been skeptical of Washington and other western countries, as a military assistance to Ukraine is still a good investment. At best, Ukraine was able to show the idea that west weapons and ammunition prevented further land loss, which was only a brilliant advertising complaint to secure further assistance.

There is no doubt that the accusation that the war between Russia and Ukraine had fallen into a stalemate was not completely accurate. While many of the western media are focusing on the stagnant front, Ukraine is not so impressive, although it is not so impressive, although it is not so impressive, such as driving the famous Russian Black Sea fleet out of the Crimean port and the West of the Black Sea. I have achieved many. Furthermore, Ukraine's lack of military advancement is at least in Western weapons to attack air centers, bases, and other military assets in Russian territory, at least partially. It was due to a strict red line that restricts the use.

• In this regard, Cruch's counterattack was not so fast. The Ukrainian army invaded Russia for the first time and occupied more than 1. 200 square kilometers (about 460 square miles). The lack of a convincing story was not limited to public relations issues, but also at the western military assistance. The western observatory has come to see that Ukraine has been involved in a lon g-term exhaustion battle with a larger and stronger Russian Russia. This was a new story after the first story of Kremlin (Kiev collapsed rapidly and Russian Satrap is set up). Western countries thought this was probably a war that Ukraine would probably not win. The scenario has been skeptical of Washington and other western countries, as a military assistance to Ukraine is still a good investment. At best, Ukraine was able to show the idea that west weapons and ammunition prevented further land loss, which was only a brilliant advertising complaint to secure further assistance.
• There is no doubt that the accusation that the war between Russia and Ukraine had fallen into a stalemate was not completely accurate. While many of the western media are focusing on the stagnant front, Ukraine is not so impressive, although it is not so impressive, although it is not so impressive, such as driving the famous Russian Black Sea fleet out of the Crimean port and the West of the Black Sea. I have achieved many. Furthermore, Ukraine's lack of military advancement is at least in Western weapons to attack air centers, bases, and other military assets in Russian territory, at least partially. It was due to a strict red line that restricts the use.
• In this regard, Cruch's counterattack was not so fast. The Ukrainian army invaded Russia for the first time and occupied more than 1. 200 square kilometers (about 460 square miles).

More About This Commentary

The counterattack was surprising to many people, including the U. S. Department of Defense, but the offensive in Cruch was completely logical. After all, Ukraine had to do something big. The Russian army may be huge, but it was still uniform and in some cases it was vulnerable. Ukraine is also a western country, especially in the United States, despite being careful about the threat of nuclear escalation, which has characterized the war on war on war from the beginning. He also proved that he was not satisfied with nuclear weapons. There are many reasons. Thus, these threats should not be a reason for the United States to add strict restrictions to Ukraine's normal military operations.

In other words, Ukraine needed to talk about the topic and once again.

Topics

• At the same time, Ukraine had to give a good news to the people after the destruction and bloodshed for many years. As one of the Ukrainian dialogue told me, the Ukrainian became so optimistic since the end of 2022, since the end of 2022, was launched on lightning fire to recapture the eastern region of Harikov. Cruchi offers offers the strategic reset that Ukrainians needed.
• However, the Cruch offensive is the first step, but if Ukraine wants to maintain the current momentum, it is necessary to provide more. Probably the most important thing is to find a new strategic story. Ukrainian leaders must convince both domestic voters and overseas supporters that they have plans to win the war. In fact, Zelenceky promises such plans to US President Joe Biden and two successors this month.
• From Ukraine's actions, Ukraine's new, still unknown, but strategic letters seem to have three relatively clear parts: surviving, attacking, and confiscating. The first "surviving" is focusing on Russia's punishment for Ukraine's energy infrastructure, preventing Russia's slow and unprecedented attacks on Donbus. The second "attack" not only consumes Russia's military power, but also attacks military and industrial goals deep in Russia to increase economic and political war costs for the Putin administration. It seems to be developing mainly to do.
• The last third is the occupation of the Cruch. This action emphasized the occupation of the Russian territory along the border, and probably used as a barrier to protect Ukraine's territory from the invasion of Russia, and as a potential cut bill for negotiations ahead. It seems to be something.
• After all, building a new victory theory of Ukraine requires all three factors, but probably not enough. Of the new stages of Kiev, the factors of surviving, attacking, and occupying will definitely increase the pressure on Moscow, but that alone will not regain the territory that Ukraine has lost. In fact, Russia has continued to move forward in eastern Ukraine, despite Ukraine's Cruch attack. In addition, future attacks and seizures will dramatically increase the internal pressure on Putin, and the dispute will not end. Most Ukrainian analysts I interviewed, most Russians, especially those who have a substantial influence on Putin's dictatorship, don't care about the crusks so that Putin abandoned the purpose of war. I admit.